Predicting Attrition : An Empirical Study at the United States Air Force Academy / Jack R. Dempsey and Jonathan C. Fast.

An analytical framework is described through which voluntary attrition can be predicted. The approach incorporates Marshallian Utility Theory and a Maximum Likelihood Estimation procedure to evaluate a specific individual's propensity to attrit. The approach was tested twice at the United States Air...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dempsey, Jack R.
Fast, Jonathan C. (Author)
Corporate Author: Air Force Military Personnel Center, Randolph AFB, TX
Language:English
Published: [Place of publication not identified] : Distributed by ERIC Clearinghouse, 1976.
Subjects:
Ability.
Attrition (Research Studies)
College Students.
Dropouts.
Failure.
Higher Education.
Mathematical Models.
Military Personnel.
Military Training.
Motivation.
Prediction.
Predictor Variables.
Probability.
Statistical Analysis.
Success.
Air Force Academy CO
Reports, Research.
Genre:
Reports, Research.
Physical Description:46 pages
Format: Microfilm Book
Description
Summary:
An analytical framework is described through which voluntary attrition can be predicted. The approach incorporates Marshallian Utility Theory and a Maximum Likelihood Estimation procedure to evaluate a specific individual's propensity to attrit. The approach was tested twice at the United States Air Force Academy where it was able to correctly predict over a third of the voluntary losses a priori on a by-name basis. These results indicate that the approach has practical usefulness as an operational tool. (Author/RC)
Note:Microform.
Call Number:ED129920 Microfiche
Reproduction Note:
Microfiche. [Washington D.C.]: ERIC Clearinghouse microfiches : positive.