Quantitative risk assessment : the scientific platform / Terje Aven.

"Quantitative risk assessments cannot eliminate risk, nor can they resolve trade-offs. They can, however, guide principled risk management and reduction - if the quality of assessment is high and decision makers understand how to use it. This book builds a unifying scientific framework for discussin...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Aven, Terje
Language:English
Published: Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 2011.
Subjects:
Physical Description:xi, 211 pages
Format: Book

MARC

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020 |a 9780521760577 (hardback) 
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049 |a EEMO 
050 0 0 |a QA273  |b .A93 2011 
082 0 0 |a 519.2/87  |2 22 
100 1 |a Aven, Terje.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n88298461 
245 1 0 |a Quantitative risk assessment :  |b the scientific platform /  |c Terje Aven. 
260 |a Cambridge ;  |a New York :  |b Cambridge University Press,  |c 2011. 
263 |a 1102. 
300 |a xi, 211 pages 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a unmediated  |b n  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a volume  |b nc  |2 rdacarrier 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references and index. 
505 8 |a Machine generated contents note: Preface; 1. Introduction to risk management and risk assessments. Challenges; 2. Concepts and perspectives on risk; 3. Science and scientific requirements; 4. Introduction to case studies; 5. Risk assessment when the objective is accurate risk estimation; 6. Risk assessment when the objective is uncertainty descriptions; 7. Risk management and communication issues; 8. Towards a holistic approach to risk assessments; 9. Conclusions; Appendix A. Introduction to probability theory and statistical analysis; Appendix B. Terminology; References; Index. 
520 |a "Quantitative risk assessments cannot eliminate risk, nor can they resolve trade-offs. They can, however, guide principled risk management and reduction - if the quality of assessment is high and decision makers understand how to use it. This book builds a unifying scientific framework for discussing and evaluating the quality of risk assessments and whether they are fit for purpose. Uncertainty is a central topic. In practice, uncertainties about inputs are rarely reflected in assessments, with the result that many safety measures are considered unjustified. Other topics include the meaning of a probability, the use of probability models, the use of Bayesian ideas and techniques, and the use of risk assessment in a practical decision-making context. Written for professionals, as well as graduate students and researchers, the book assumes basic probability, statistics and risk assessment methods. Examples make concepts concrete, and three extended case studies show the scientific framework in action"--  |c Provided by publisher. 
650 0 |a Probabilities.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85107090 
650 0 |a Risk assessment  |x Statistical methods.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh87002638 
650 0 |a Decision making  |x Statistical methods.  |0 http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2009123012 
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952 f f |p Can Circulate  |a Michigan State University-Library of Michigan  |b Michigan State University  |c MSU Remote Storage  |d MSU Remote Storage  |t 0  |e QA273 .A93 2011  |h Library of Congress classification  |i Printed Material  |m 31293007148533  |n 1